INFORM COVID Risk Index - Results and analysis

The INFORM COVID Risk Index is a composite index that identifies: “countries at risk from health and humanitarian impacts of COVID-19 that could overwhelm current national response capacity, and therefore lead to a need for additional international assistance”.

In this paper, we present the methodology and results of the INFORM COVID Risk Index

We show how the index can be used with other INFORM products to support prioritisation of preparedness and early response activities for the pandemic.

We also discuss the relevant importance of COVID-specific vulnerabilities and broader vulnerabilities in countries from different income groups.

  • Updated 1 May 2020 | Dataset date: April 23, 2020-April 23, 2020
    This dataset updates: As needed
    INFORM is a multi-stakeholder forum for developing shared, quantitative analysis relevant to humanitarian crises and disasters. INFORM includes organisations from across the multilateral system, including the humanitarian and development sector, donors, and technical partners. The Joint Research Center of European Commission is the scientific and technical lead for INFORM. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, INFORM has released a COVID Risk Index to support the specific decision-making needs of humanitarian and other organisations. The following is an analysis that addresses key questions for humanitarian organisations by combining information from 3 INFORM products: • The new INFORM COVID Risk Index, which identifies “countries at risk from health and humanitarian impacts of COVID-19 that could overwhelm current national response capacity, and therefore lead to a need for additional international assistance”. The INFORM COVID Risk Index is • The INFORM Risk Index (Mid-2020 version), which identifies “countries at risk from humanitarian emergencies that could overwhelm current national response capacity, and therefore lead to a need for international assistance”. The INFORM Risk Index takes into account natural and human hazards, as well as vulnerability and lack of coping capacity. • The INFORM Severity Index (March 2020 version) is a regularly updated model for measuring the severity of humanitarian crises globally, which brings together indicators of impact, conditions of affected people, and complexity.
  • Updated 12 October 2020 | Dataset date: September 12, 2020-September 12, 2020
    This dataset updates: As needed
    The INFORM COVID-19 Risk Index is a composite index that identifies: “countries at risk from health and humanitarian impacts of COVID-19 that could overwhelm current national response capacity, and therefore lead to a need for additional international assistance”. The INFORM COVID-19 Risk Index is primarily concerned with structural risk factors, i.e. those that existed before the outbreak. It can be used to support prioritization of preparedness and early response actions for the primary impacts of the pandemic, and identify countries where secondary impacts are likely to have the most critical humanitarian consequences. The main scope of the INFORM COVID-19 Risk Index is global and regional risk-informed resource allocation, i.e. where comparable understanding of countries’ risk is important. It cannot predict the impacts of the pandemic in individual countries. It does not consider the mechanisms behind secondary impacts - for example how a COVID-19 outbreak could increase conflict risk.